Nations League

Turkey Italy

AI prediction & analysis

Monday, 28 September 202620:45

Median 1X2 odds

1
Turkey
1.92
X
Draw
2.23
2
Italy
1.65
Over 2.5
goals
2.00
Under 2.5
goals
1.81

Odds shown: median of 2 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Turkey
33.1%
Draw
28.5%
Win Italy
38.5%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Italy is the most likely outcome of Turkey – Italy (Nations League), with an implied probability of roughly 38.5% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 33.1% for Turkey, 28.5% for the draw and 38.5% for Italy.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 2.00 / Under 1.81). The market leans towards "under" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Turkey – Italy?
According to median bookmaker odds, Italy is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 38.5% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Turkey – Italy?
Median 1X2 odds: 1.92 for a Turkey win, 2.23 for the draw and 1.65 for an Italy win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Turkey – Italy played?
Turkey – Italy kicks off on Monday, 28 September 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), in the Nations League.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Turkey – Italy?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 2.00 / Under 1.81.

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