Nations League

Italy Belgium

AI prediction & analysis

Friday, 25 September 202620:45

Median 1X2 odds

1
Italy
1.94
X
Draw
3.53
2
Belgium
3.48
Over 2.5
goals
1.75
Under 2.5
goals
2.01

Odds shown: median of 10 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Italy
47.5%
Draw
26.1%
Win Belgium
26.5%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Italy is the most likely outcome of Italy – Belgium (Nations League), with an implied probability of roughly 47.5% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 47.5% for Italy, 26.1% for the draw and 26.5% for Belgium.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.75 / Under 2.01). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Italy – Belgium?
According to median bookmaker odds, Italy is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 47.5% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Italy – Belgium?
Median 1X2 odds: 1.94 for a Italy win, 3.53 for the draw and 3.48 for an Belgium win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Italy – Belgium played?
Italy – Belgium kicks off on Friday, 25 September 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), in the Nations League.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Italy – Belgium?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.75 / Under 2.01.

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