Nations League

Portugal Wales

AI prediction & analysis

Thursday, 24 September 202620:45

Median 1X2 odds

1
Portugal
1.27
X
Draw
5.18
2
Wales
9.75
Over 2.5
goals
1.52
Under 2.5
goals
2.48

Odds shown: median of 10 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Portugal
72.7%
Draw
17.8%
Win Wales
9.5%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Portugal is the most likely outcome of Portugal – Wales (Nations League), with an implied probability of roughly 72.7% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 72.7% for Portugal, 17.8% for the draw and 9.5% for Wales.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.52 / Under 2.48). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Portugal – Wales?
According to median bookmaker odds, Portugal is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 72.7% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Portugal – Wales?
Median 1X2 odds: 1.27 for a Portugal win, 5.18 for the draw and 9.75 for an Wales win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Portugal – Wales played?
Portugal – Wales kicks off on Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), in the Nations League.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Portugal – Wales?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.52 / Under 2.48.

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