Nations League

Spain Croatia

AI prediction & analysis

Tuesday, 29 September 202620:45

Median 1X2 odds

1
Spain
1.32
X
Draw
4.79
2
Croatia
8.45
Over 2.5
goals
1.81
Under 2.5
goals
1.99

Odds shown: median of 1 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Spain
69.8%
Draw
19.2%
Win Croatia
10.9%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Spain is the most likely outcome of Spain – Croatia (Nations League), with an implied probability of roughly 69.8% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 69.8% for Spain, 19.2% for the draw and 10.9% for Croatia.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.81 / Under 1.99). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Spain – Croatia?
According to median bookmaker odds, Spain is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 69.8% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Spain – Croatia?
Median 1X2 odds: 1.32 for a Spain win, 4.79 for the draw and 8.45 for an Croatia win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Spain – Croatia played?
Spain – Croatia kicks off on Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), in the Nations League.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Spain – Croatia?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.81 / Under 1.99.

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