Nations League

England Spain

AI prediction & analysis

Saturday, 26 September 202620:45

Median 1X2 odds

1
England
2.55
X
Draw
3.20
2
Spain
2.50
Over 2.5
goals
1.86
Under 2.5
goals
1.89

Odds shown: median of 8 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win England
35.5%
Draw
28.3%
Win Spain
36.2%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Spain is the most likely outcome of England – Spain (Nations League), with an implied probability of roughly 36.2% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 35.5% for England, 28.3% for the draw and 36.2% for Spain.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.86 / Under 1.89). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in England – Spain?
According to median bookmaker odds, Spain is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 36.2% (margin removed).
What are the odds for England – Spain?
Median 1X2 odds: 2.55 for a England win, 3.20 for the draw and 2.50 for an Spain win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is England – Spain played?
England – Spain kicks off on Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), in the Nations League.
Over or under 2.5 goals in England – Spain?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.86 / Under 1.89.

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