Nations League

Belgium France

AI prediction & analysis

Monday, 28 September 202620:45

Median 1X2 odds

1
Belgium
3.08
X
Draw
3.35
2
France
1.94
Over 2.5
goals
1.70
Under 2.5
goals
2.05

Odds shown: median of 6 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Belgium
28.5%
Draw
26.2%
Win France
45.3%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, France is the most likely outcome of Belgium – France (Nations League), with an implied probability of roughly 45.3% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 28.5% for Belgium, 26.2% for the draw and 45.3% for France.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.70 / Under 2.05). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Belgium – France?
According to median bookmaker odds, France is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 45.3% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Belgium – France?
Median 1X2 odds: 3.08 for a Belgium win, 3.35 for the draw and 1.94 for an France win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Belgium – France played?
Belgium – France kicks off on Monday, 28 September 2026 at 20:45 (Paris time), in the Nations League.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Belgium – France?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.70 / Under 2.05.

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