World Cup 2026

Uruguay Spain

AI prediction & analysis

Saturday, 27 June 202602:00

Median 1X2 odds

1
Uruguay
5.10
X
Draw
3.88
2
Spain
1.61
Over 2.5
goals
1.88
Under 2.5
goals
1.86

Odds shown: median of 15 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Uruguay
18.2%
Draw
24%
Win Spain
57.8%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Spain is the most likely outcome of Uruguay – Spain (World Cup 2026), with an implied probability of roughly 57.8% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 18.2% for Uruguay, 24% for the draw and 57.8% for Spain.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.88 / Under 1.86). The market leans towards "under" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Uruguay – Spain?
According to median bookmaker odds, Spain is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 57.8% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Uruguay – Spain?
Median 1X2 odds: 5.10 for a Uruguay win, 3.88 for the draw and 1.61 for an Spain win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Uruguay – Spain played?
Uruguay – Spain kicks off on Saturday, 27 June 2026 at 02:00 (Paris time), in the World Cup 2026.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Uruguay – Spain?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.88 / Under 1.86.

Statistical & AI analysis tool — not a betting operator. For information only. Bet responsibly · 18+.