World Cup 2026

Mexico South Africa

AI prediction & analysis

Thursday, 11 June 202621:00

Median 1X2 odds

1
Mexico
1.41
X
Draw
4.50
2
South Africa
8.90
Over 2.5
goals
2.12
Under 2.5
goals
1.70

Odds shown: median of 25 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Mexico
67.9%
Draw
21.3%
Win South Africa
10.8%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Mexico is the most likely outcome of Mexico – South Africa (World Cup 2026), with an implied probability of roughly 67.9% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 67.9% for Mexico, 21.3% for the draw and 10.8% for South Africa.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 2.12 / Under 1.70). The market leans towards "under" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Mexico – South Africa?
According to median bookmaker odds, Mexico is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 67.9% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Mexico – South Africa?
Median 1X2 odds: 1.41 for a Mexico win, 4.50 for the draw and 8.90 for an South Africa win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Mexico – South Africa played?
Mexico – South Africa kicks off on Thursday, 11 June 2026 at 21:00 (Paris time), in the World Cup 2026.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Mexico – South Africa?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 2.12 / Under 1.70.

Statistical & AI analysis tool — not a betting operator. For information only. Bet responsibly · 18+.