World Cup 2026

Ecuador Germany

AI prediction & analysis

Thursday, 25 June 202622:00

Median 1X2 odds

1
Ecuador
4.70
X
Draw
3.75
2
Germany
1.70
Over 2.5
goals
1.85
Under 2.5
goals
1.89

Odds shown: median of 16 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Ecuador
19.9%
Draw
25%
Win Germany
55.1%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Germany is the most likely outcome of Ecuador – Germany (World Cup 2026), with an implied probability of roughly 55.1% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 19.9% for Ecuador, 25% for the draw and 55.1% for Germany.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.85 / Under 1.89). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Ecuador – Germany?
According to median bookmaker odds, Germany is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 55.1% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Ecuador – Germany?
Median 1X2 odds: 4.70 for a Ecuador win, 3.75 for the draw and 1.70 for an Germany win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Ecuador – Germany played?
Ecuador – Germany kicks off on Thursday, 25 June 2026 at 22:00 (Paris time), in the World Cup 2026.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Ecuador – Germany?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.85 / Under 1.89.

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