Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon Arouca

AI prediction & analysis

Saturday, 19 September 202621:30

Median 1X2 odds

1
Sporting Lisbon
1.19
X
Draw
6.58
2
Arouca
13.50
Over 3.5
goals
1.90
Under 3.5
goals
1.79

Odds shown: median of 19 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Sporting Lisbon
78.8%
Draw
14.3%
Win Arouca
6.9%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Sporting Lisbon is the most likely outcome of Sporting Lisbon – Arouca (Primeira Liga), with an implied probability of roughly 78.8% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 78.8% for Sporting Lisbon, 14.3% for the draw and 6.9% for Arouca.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 3.5 goals (Over 1.90 / Under 1.79). The market leans towards "under" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Sporting Lisbon – Arouca?
According to median bookmaker odds, Sporting Lisbon is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 78.8% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Sporting Lisbon – Arouca?
Median 1X2 odds: 1.19 for a Sporting Lisbon win, 6.58 for the draw and 13.50 for an Arouca win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Sporting Lisbon – Arouca played?
Sporting Lisbon – Arouca kicks off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 21:30 (Paris time), in the Primeira Liga.
Over or under 3.5 goals in Sporting Lisbon – Arouca?
The bookmakers' main line is 3.5 goals: Over 1.90 / Under 1.79.

Statistical & AI analysis tool — not a betting operator. For information only. Bet responsibly · 18+.