World Cup 2026

Portugal Spain

AI prediction & analysis

Monday, 6 July 202621:00

Median 1X2 odds

1
Portugal
4.10
X
Draw
3.64
2
Spain
1.91
Over 2.5
goals
1.92
Under 2.5
goals
1.90

Odds shown: median of 25 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Portugal
23.4%
Draw
26.4%
Win Spain
50.2%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Spain is the most likely outcome of Portugal – Spain (World Cup 2026), with an implied probability of roughly 50.2% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 23.4% for Portugal, 26.4% for the draw and 50.2% for Spain.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.92 / Under 1.90). The market leans towards "under" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Portugal – Spain?
According to median bookmaker odds, Spain is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 50.2% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Portugal – Spain?
Median 1X2 odds: 4.10 for a Portugal win, 3.64 for the draw and 1.91 for an Spain win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Portugal – Spain played?
Portugal – Spain kicks off on Monday, 6 July 2026 at 21:00 (Paris time), in the World Cup 2026.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Portugal – Spain?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.92 / Under 1.90.

Statistical & AI analysis tool — not a betting operator. For information only. Bet responsibly · 18+.