Premier League

Newcastle United Aston Villa

AI prediction & analysis

Saturday, 17 October 202618:30

Median 1X2 odds

1
Newcastle United
1.88
X
Draw
3.63
2
Aston Villa
3.45
Over 2.5
goals
1.59
Under 2.5
goals
2.28

Odds shown: median of 11 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Newcastle United
48.5%
Draw
25.1%
Win Aston Villa
26.4%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Newcastle United is the most likely outcome of Newcastle United – Aston Villa (Premier League), with an implied probability of roughly 48.5% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 48.5% for Newcastle United, 25.1% for the draw and 26.4% for Aston Villa.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 2.5 goals (Over 1.59 / Under 2.28). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Newcastle United – Aston Villa?
According to median bookmaker odds, Newcastle United is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 48.5% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Newcastle United – Aston Villa?
Median 1X2 odds: 1.88 for a Newcastle United win, 3.63 for the draw and 3.45 for an Aston Villa win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Newcastle United – Aston Villa played?
Newcastle United – Aston Villa kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 18:30 (Paris time), in the Premier League.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Newcastle United – Aston Villa?
The bookmakers' main line is 2.5 goals: Over 1.59 / Under 2.28.

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