World Cup 2026

Mexico Ecuador

AI prediction & analysis

Wednesday, 1 July 202603:00

Median 1X2 odds

1
Mexico
2.21
X
Draw
2.95
2
Ecuador
3.98
Over 1.5
goals
1.61
Under 1.5
goals
2.31

Odds shown: median of 25 European bookmakers. The favourite is the shortest-priced outcome (market consensus). Implied probabilities are computed after removing the margin.

Implied probabilities (margin removed)

Win Mexico
43.4%
Draw
32.5%
Win Ecuador
24.1%

Our analysis

Based on median odds aggregated from several European bookmakers, Mexico is the most likely outcome of Mexico – Ecuador (World Cup 2026), with an implied probability of roughly 43.4% once the bookmaker margin is removed. The three outcomes price at 43.4% for Mexico, 32.5% for the draw and 24.1% for Ecuador.

On the goals market, the main line sits at 1.5 goals (Over 1.61 / Under 2.31). The market leans towards "over" — a useful anchor for Over/Under and "both teams to score" bets.

For a deeper dive, the LiveFootAI voice expert analyses recent form, head-to-head records, absentees and advanced stats (xG, shots on target, possession) in real time to generate a reasoned prediction with a confidence level — correct score, 1X2, Over/Under, goalscorers or accumulators. Analysis is for information only; betting carries risk, please play responsibly.

Analysis by the LiveFootAI editorial team · data updated continuously

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FAQ

Who is the favourite in Mexico – Ecuador?
According to median bookmaker odds, Mexico is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of around 43.4% (margin removed).
What are the odds for Mexico – Ecuador?
Median 1X2 odds: 2.21 for a Mexico win, 2.95 for the draw and 3.98 for an Ecuador win — medians across several European bookmakers.
When is Mexico – Ecuador played?
Mexico – Ecuador kicks off on Wednesday, 1 July 2026 at 03:00 (Paris time), in the World Cup 2026.
Over or under 1.5 goals in Mexico – Ecuador?
The bookmakers' main line is 1.5 goals: Over 1.61 / Under 2.31.

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